Yintoni eya kubangela ukunyuka kule dollar? ukukhula dollar: iziphumo

Ukususela ekupheleni kuka-Agasti 2014, i-dollar waqala ngokuthe kuzuze amandla. ukuncipha Parallel ngokwexabiso yeoli sabhalwa. Ngelo xesha, akukho mntu wayengayazi ukuba uza kuvuka dollar, esele ziqondeka emarikeni njengoko pullback elandelayo. boqhankqalazo yaqala ukukhula xa itshathi ixabiso baqala ukungena ngokukhawuleza ngenxa kwinqanaba emva kwinqanaba. Le meko zikho ukususela ekupheleni kuka-Agasti. Kuthatha indawo namhlanje. I dollar lenyuka ngokumangalisayo nxamnye nazo zonke iimali acatshulwe kwi emarikeni. Uphawu ngenxa imeko eliye lakhula namhlanje, kungathathwa ukuyilwa ngeencopho ezintsha kwi Dow Jones kunye S & P 500 zophengululo ezininzi ukususela ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba, walumkisa ukuba lwemali US ilungiselela isimanga barhwebi linjalo.

Njengoko dollar bubutshintshe kanjani ubomi eRashiya?

Ukunyuka kwixabiso US lwemali, egqalwa yorhwebo kakhulu ulwelo ehlabathini, kuye kwashiya uphawu yayo kuqoqosho lwelizwe yonke ehlabathini. Ingakumbi eqaqambileyo wabonisa ukukhula dollar eRashiya. Bayinyusela ukuwa imeko kwamaxabiso e-oyile. Nolonwabo phakathi abemi ngokunxulumene ngokuwa engange kwi akukho ndlela exhaswa yi-arhente karhulumente ixesha elide. impazamo karhulumente kukuba wayekholose imikhosi self-elawula zemalike. Ukukhula kwemali amazwe, nto leyo kwiinyanga ezintlanu ezidlulileyo weza spurts, kwakhokelela ekubeni ukwanda kokuziswa amaxabiso okutya kunye nobunzima kushishino. Nangona kunjalo, olu kuphela isesisiqalo. Kwinqanaba sichaze, ukukhula dollar sele imfuno nencindi eyinkunzi evela eRashiya, ekuthotyweni umthamo wempahla ukuze GDP nokuhla ixabiso le-0.8%. Ngaphantsi zokuhlaselwa nje amashishini amancinane kunye naphakathi-ertyisi, kodwa iinkampani ezinkulu, ogama imisebenzi nihluthiyo mali Russian. Ukunyuka dollar, ukuwa ioli, bokukhutshwa engange kunye nokunciphisa iindleko igesi kuye kwakhokelela ekubeni babebona olunzulu yoqoqosho Russian. Ngomkhukula lobunzima i Central Bank wamvusa kwenzala, nto leyo eyanyanzelisa ukuba urhulumente athathe amanyathelo ezininzi ngasemva kuphuhliso.

Ebonisa ukuba izinga dollar ye-Bank for International Settlements?

Umbuzo wokuba yintoni le dollar, amaxhala Russia nje kuphela kodwa ihlabathi liphela. Bank for International Settlements - lelinye lamaziko zokuqala zemali zehlabathi, eyaqala isandi alarm phezu meko. Ngokutsho BIS, i-US ukukhula lwemali ingakhokelela ekubeni ingxaki kwezoqoqosho kumazwe amaninzi. Kuxhaphake ukomeleza omnye iimali eziphambili zehlabathi njalo kukhokelela destabilization le meko kuzo zonke imakethi stock. Iinkxalabo zinxulumene ikakhulu ngenxa yenyaniso yokuba iinkampani ezinkulu eziqhutyelwa ngokusekelwe kuqoqosho kumazwe lehlabathi, ikakhulu zisebenza ngokusekelwe mboleko ngokoMthetho dollar. mali esiyintlawulo kuya kufuneka ukuba ayenze, imali efanayo ukuba ikhondo kanye umthambo yingxaki kakhulu kwaye ngamanye amaxesha engenakwenzeka. Crisis kunxibelelana nento eyenzeka eRashiya, olunokusongamela amazwe ngakumbi nangakumbi ehlabathini lonke.

debentures

A dollar namandla kuye ngokuzenzekelayo waba intwasahlobo amchasa kumazwe asaphuhlayo. Lithethe ityala lezi nokuvela dollar, kuba kunokwenzeka kuphela emva ngokutshintshiselana nowakho ezintsha.

Xa dollar iqalisa ukomeleza, oorhulumente wesizwe, ephuhlisa inxaxheba, aqalile nomtya ngokukhawuleza US imali ngokwayo kunokuba ndiwuhlutha nje ngokupheleleyo ngokwabo-mali lwangaphandle kunye nokolula oovimba ezo iiBhanki ezingoovimba. Nangona kunjalo, amashishini kumazwe asakhasayo kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo landa kakhulu umba ityala, yaye ngeedola US. Ababoleka baye bakhululwa ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, izibambiso exabisa malunga 2.6 ezigidi zeerandi (3/4 miqulu sishishinayo wase US). mboleko Cross-umda malunga $ 4 zezigidi. Ukuba lwemali lubalaseleyo ngamazwe iqala ukwehla, kwaye ziya kuqhubeka matshi yayo, umthwalo ityala iinkampani ezininzi zehlabathi imane unsupportable. Le meko kuya kuyenza mandundu ukuba amazinga enzala kwi US yafikelela imeko yayo yesiqhelo. Kwaye bonke ngayo yaye iya. Policy of Ukudambisa oluninzi sele iphelile, kwaye United States ezandleni phantse onke amakhadi.

Ukunyuka dollar: okulungileyo eUnited States - oko embi kuqoqosho kwamanye amazwe

Nangona dollar kuyaqhubeka kukhula, kwaye noqoqosho US bandayo, ityala kwamanye amazwe zelimiweyo kude ngeyona ndlela. Ngokomzekelo, eJapan, kwakhona nokwehla ngukumkani. Vala kwintlekele, abaninzi amazwe EU. Kwaba endaweni kwabo ECB izama nzima kwisimo imeko ngokusebenzisa iinkqubo zoncedo ezininzi. Kwakukho iingxelo Kowolunye urhulumente kwiinyanga ezizayo, kucwangciswe inkqubo ikomkhulu Ukudambisa oluninzi. Yenza uqikelelo kwixesha elizayo asikabikho umhlaziyi asithatyathwa. Ngokutsho koqikelelo lwabemi lokuqala, le meko kungekudala iza kuba efanayo. Shintsho lokuqala uya ozakuliqaphela kufutshane emthonjeni, xa ECB iya kuwazisa ngokusesikweni ukuphuculwa izikhombisi zoqoqosho ngokunxulumene nomsebenzi wenziwe.

Akukho mathemba banethemba

Kwixa elizayo, nto ezintle angafanele elinde ukuba meko, ingakumbi ukukhula okuqhubekayo dollar ngakumbi. Iziphumo ezingaphelelanga ekwandeni kwemfuno imali kunye nokusilela kumazwe amaninzi ehlabathini. Kufuneka ulindele ukuba outflow of capital -mali karhulumente. Ezinkulu iinkampani-banamatyala iza kuzama ukuhlawula amatyala, kwakhona eboleka imali ngamazinga aphezulu umdla. Kwiinzame ukubuyisela imali eyenziwe kwaye ukufumana ubuncinane ingeniso ubuncinane, baya kuqalisa umgaqo-nkqubo ixabiso ngeenyawo yempahla kunye neenkonzo. iinkxalabo Savings ishishini iya kuba ngeendleko amazinga zokusebenza abasebenzi. Abantu ezimalini. It wamguqulayo umjikelezo apho imveliso ayibonakali. Xana iya nokuvela dollar, iinkcukacha akukho namnye unako ukuchaza, kodwa ukuba le meko iya kuchaphazela wonke umntu - ngokwenene loo nto. Phantsi kuhlaselwa e kwindawo yokuqala iya kuba urhulumente nkqubo ogama ijolise kuphuhliso esebenzayo.

Ukubuya dollar nangona kwisithathu umgama ohanjiweyo - oku yeyona babenethemba, kodwa kunokwenzeka kweli nqanaba sase-.

Ngaba kunokwenzeka ukuba ukuphucula le meko?

Ukuze kulungiswe le meko ehlabathini, kuba yingxaki kakhulu, lo gama i-dollar liyaqhubeka nokwanda. Anemiphumela ukuqhubeka le meko ziza kongezeleleka. Into kuphela ukuba ngandlel 'ukwandisa isiganeko - lixabiso ukunyuka leoli ubuncinane de ekujoliswe of $ 100 umphanda. Nangona i-US ubesoloko ethatha zemigodi amafutha, kunye amazwe OPEC akuvumelani ukunciphisa umthamo izinto neoli kwimarike yamazwe ngamazwe, nto iya kutshintsha. intloko yangoku zombuso nga kancinane kuphela uwugudise ntlekele, kwaye kubalulekile ukuba kube lula ubomi abemi kwinqanaba loqoqosho lwasekhaya.

Iimeko lalikade ndoyika ukucinga, namhlanje uzigqala njengezingabalulekanga. Kwaye zonke asilotyala dollar ukunyuka. Intelekelelo kule inkalo asebenzayo achumayo waseMerika sele ukuvumela ukuba ukuthintela imeko apho khosi iya kunxibelelana engange 200 1 US dollar ngalinye. De ixabiso lwemali ukuya ngokuzithemba enxebeni engange-100 ukuze dollar enye, kwaye uluntu Uyabubona imeko lula. Ukuqonda ukuba Melika nempumelelo yayo nempumelelo, ingakumbi, ukwanda esebenzayo izalathisi ezinkulu kwezoqoqosho kuye kwakhokelela ekubeni kubekho ukuxinezeleka lwehlabathi, akunamsebenzi ukutshintsha nantoni na. Kwaye yintoni ke ukuphuma idola kwi ekupheleni - u ta va a xi twisiseki.