Kwenzeka ntoni dollar? Yintoni eza kwenzeka kwixesha elizayo - ukukhula okanye hlisa?

Iimarike Currency musa kupheza ukuba ndimaphule projections eziphuhliswe umhlaziyi ehlabathini lonke. Ayikho ingcali bengenako nokuphendula ngokucacileyo umbuzo wokuba kwenzeka ntoni dollar. Ikhosi Formation ngenxa omnye ngababini kwemali lubalaseleyo - EUR / USD - zingaha- kangangokuba akukho nje ixesha elide kodwa Ingxelo elifutshane abalahlekelwe yonke intsingiselo. Inani elikhulu iziganeko ezibalulekileyo, ezifana nengozi olungagqibekanga lwe Italy kunye Spain, ukuwa ratings waseMerika, abatyali badidekile. Kunzima ukumisela ukuba ngowuphi na ezi zinto zoqoqosho ziya kuba negalelo elikhulu emarikeni. iziganeko Ukufikisa yenza ukuchana kuqikellelo phantse ibingakholeleki. Noko ke, malunga nemvelaphi iziganeko ezenzeka ehlabathini, sinako ukuzoba ezinye izigqibo.

Njengoko Merika imeko ngokwawo?

America Uyekile ukuba injini kwezoqoqosho kwakhona wafudukela kudidi komthombo iingxaki. Ngelo xesha abatyali musa kuyeka ukuba nomdla kwi dollar and Treasury bonds, elisandula sehlile kwezi zixeliweyo. Nangona le meko kakhulu eUnited States ityala lalo elikhulu namazwe angaphandle, inzala kunye nemfuno lwemali akhiwa into zabantu. Nawuphi ndaba, nokukhokelela nangayiphi na isihlo chaos kunye panic kwi istock exchange kunye ixabiso dollar iqala ukukhula ngokunxulumene nganye iimali ehlabathini. Idlala indima ebalulekileyo nkalo eUnited States kwisigxina olomeleleyo orhwebo lwe-oyile.

Oko ECB kuthatha?

I-European Central Bank iinyanga ezimbalwa adlule kuqhinwe umgaqo wolawulo-mali. Ngoku kukho omnye ithuba kweziganeko, lwenziwa Ukudambisa oluninzi. Ukuba sicinga ukuba i-Fed uphawuleka nezenzo ezithambileyo kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo abasemagunyeni ikhokelele ekunyukeni elibukhali kwi euro ngokunxulumene isindululo zokubonelelwa zeerandi. Le meko ku othile ichaza isizathu sokuba kukho nokonyuka dollar. Lo mgaqo-nkqubo mechanical kwaye akukho nemithelela esisiseko. Kulo mzekelo, amava kwiminyaka edlulileyo ibonisa ngokucacileyo le nto yenzekayo anokubakho ezinye izenzakalo. Entwasahlobo ka-2011, kunye kukwehla kwemeko kummandla mazwe peripheral kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo ka Inzala yemali oluninzi kwi-US, kunye ekurhoxisweni amatyala ukusuka kuqoqosho ECB kwenzeka ukuphuma euro ngokuchasene dollar. Ukunqongophala noqhelaniso ocacile akuthinteli amathuba buthathaka eliphezulu euro ngokuchasene dollar.

Kwenzeka ntoni na kuqoqosho?

Ukuze uqonde ukuba kwenzeka ntoni dollar yaye kutheni uyakhula ngokukhutheleyo ngokunxulumene zonke iimali zehlabathi, kufuneka sijonge imeko yezoqoqosho ehlabathini. Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, umphezulu 4 Central Bank of jikelele baye benza ingxelo ukuba baqalise ukwenza umgaqo-nkqubo Ukudambisa oluninzi. SNB waqala ukugawula inzala ukuya kwinani zero, yaza ngoncedo nxamnye franc. Le ECB waqalisa ukuthenga yesibini esebenzayo kwiibhondi zikarhulumente of Spain kunye Italy kwimalike kawonkewonke. I-Bank of Japan ubesoloko ethatha bathengisa yen kwimalike kawonkewonke. Federal Reserve of America wenza ingxelo US amaqondo enzala kwi zero ziya kubanjwa eminye iminyaka emibini. Ngenxa yoko, oko kwasekwa iliza omtsha Ukudambisa oluninzi.

Eyona ndlela zokusombulula iingxaki nokuvuka dollar

Le iiBhanki ezingoovimba lamazwe aphambili ehlabathini ngokungathanga ngqo, ngenxa yezenzo zabo ekubonise ukuba ukukhula kwezoqoqosho kumazwe anamandla ehlabathini kungekudala uza kuba phantse emsebenzini. Amathuba High kwezalathisi ezimbi. iingxaki eyakhiwe anxulumene namanqanaba aphezulu ngesifo amatyala amakhulu, oorhulumente nabangekafumani alunakupheliswa. Kwaye kunjalo, Kakade ke, ngaphandle kokuba imeko sele okwangoku zifunyenwe. Ingxaki kukuba, ngokubanzi, ingasombululwa kuphela ngeendlela ezimbini:

• indlela Deflation. Ukudilizwa, izinketho ezizenzekelayo xa kungacaciswanga, ukwandisa izinga imali, ukunyuka irhafu kunye nokunye.
• indlela emali. Spike kwimarike imali (ngokusebenzisa yayo ezongezelelweyo) ukuba depreciate ngakumbi amatyala kunye neendleko. Oku njengomnye ezifuneka elichaza into eyenzekayo kunye dollar.

amazwe World aye ngenkuthalo basebenzisa indlela emali yokusombulula iingxaki. Oku kukhokelela ekwandeni kwimali euro yen kunye dollar ejikeleza. Kulo mzekelo, isixa-asethi, njenge-oyile kwakunye nokutya iimveliso wahlala kwinqanaba elifanayo. Nje imiba mechanical yeendleko phantse yonke impilo yeli hlabathi baya kuvuka, kwaye uqoqosho luya kubalulwa kukukhula buthathaka. Kuthathelwa ingqalelo into idola na lwemali Reserve, kucacile ukuba kuya ikhula. Ukuqwalasela umbuzo kwenzeka ntoni dollar, sinokuthi imeko yangoku - hayi ngaphezulu nje zibonakalisa imeko uqoqosho lwehlabathi.

Leyo eyakhokelela ekubeni ukukhula dollar eRashiya: izizathu ezibalulekileyo

Eziliqela ingcali ezinxulumene nokukhula elikhutheleyo ukuwa dollar kwamaxabiso e-oyile. Le meko kuboniswa ngokucacileyo ukwehla kule engange kunyaka odlulileyo. Ukuba ekuqaleni konyaka ngeranti dollar obabulingana 35-37 engange, namhlanje izinga sele sawela uphawu engange-60. Kokuma natshintsha ntsingiselo anayenza. Ukongeza kule nkqubo amaxabiso kwiimarike ioli, ukukhula idola ngokuchasene ukuwa engange ochaphazelekayo uqoqosho bobabini Russia kunye Ukraine, kwakunye nokubekwa izohlwayo ezibukhali nxamnye Russian Federation ukusuka West.

Impembelelo ye-nemeko yomntu ekukhuleni dollar

Abatyali iyala ukuba nokutyala imali yabo kwilizwe umqathango iyaxokozela kwezoqoqosho. Uhlengahlengiso lwenziwe kwaye zeziphi izohlwayo bexoxa ngasentla. Igalelo elikhulu lokusekwa meko yaye wenza oligarchs basemakhitshini, akuba yahlola imeko kweli lizwe nakwihlabathi, nangoko wemka, imali yabo ngaphandle kwe Russia. Abanye abantu kwiinzame ukugcina imali yabo yaqala kuthenga imali amazwe, nto leyo eyabangela nokukhula ngamandla. Ukunciphisa lwemali umdla ezikhula kulo kunye nezinye izinto eziliqela kwenza kube lula ukuphendula umbuzo malunga into eyenzekayo dollar.

isenzo Central Bank - buyinto obekubonakala

Uxinzelelo phezu lwemali kazwelonke ka-Russia kabukhali landa emva kokugqitywa yeentlanganiso ka OPEC. Ukwanda kwimveliso oil kuhlelwe ukuba ayeke. Kuba engange le meko uthembisa kuphela ukuwa lwemali kazwelonke. iingqikelelo Iingcali 'iyadanisa, njengoko umlawuli karhulumente isusiwe phantse ngokupheleleyo uxanduva engange. Imali kazwelonke waya free-yokuqubha. Ngokutsho kweengcali, ifomati izenzo ezinjalo unako ukuzisa iziphumo ezilindelekileyo, ingakumbi nokuzinziswa ikhosi, kodwa kuphela kuloo mazwe apho uninzi kwempahla zivela kwicandelo mveliso, kwaye uqoqosho uzinzile. uqoqosho Russia akuthethi uzakuthelekisa naziphi iinketho, ngoko ke, akukho asabela kwikhosi free zange yenzeke, ncam koko, le meko iye isiba mandundu kuphela.

Yintoni neziphumo utshintsho elibukhali isantya sonaniso?

Xa sijonga le meko yaye sinikela ingqalelo koko kwenzeka ntoni xa dollar liphuma, kunokuthiwa malunga ukuqhubela phambili iingxaki abakhoyo. Inqanaba umvuzo lehla, kwaba nzima ukufumana umsebenzi, kunye nabameli amashishini amancinane kunye naphakathi banyanzelwa ukuba anciphise imisebenzi yabo. Not izakulahlwa kwaye ukusilela States ukuzalisekisa iimbopheleleko zabo zentlalo, ukuncitshiswa iinkqubo zoncedo loluntu kunye Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso zonke iimpahla kunye neenkonzo. Ukwehla akuthethi ibuye, kwaye urhulumente athathe nawaphi na amanyathelo asebenzayo. Nini ngokuwa dollar? Xa imeko omeleza? Akukho nasinye abahlalutyi kwaye abanye abakwazi ukuthetha. Ngoko njengoko kwimimandla kuphela isicombululo cinga ihlelo meko.

Yintoni abahlaziyi bathi?

Ngomhla umbuzo wokuba kwenzeka ntoni dollar ngo-2014 ayikwazanga iphendulwe. Le meko litshintsha ngokukhawuleza kangangokuba ochwepheshe nzima ukugcina umkhondo kuyo. Ngowe-2015 lo mkhuba waqhubeka. Kulo mzekelo, akukho namnye abahlalutyi ezikhokelela nokuba athatyathiweyo ukwenza uqikelelo ukuba asikhanyisele le meko. Oku kungenziwa kukhokelwa kuphela intetho kurhulumente kunye noqoqosho izangqa. Ngaphandle kuthathelwa ingqalelo into yokuba abantu Yandothusa yi okwenzekayo xa dollar liphuma, nkcazelo zilandelayo zenziwa. isifo Jakob (ntshikilelo!), URhulumente Russian sele belungiselela dollar kwinqanaba $ 100 nangaphezulu. Ngaphambili, la manani kwabonakala yenzeka ukuba, namhlanje ithathwa kakhulu kunokwenzeka. Njengoko kuba hryvnia, iingcali ezininzi zidla ukukholelwa ukuba izinga kufuneka inciphise kwi 20-25 hryvnia, ngenxa yokuba ukuthengisela kwimarike ozalwa ukuba zivalwe intengiso yokusebenza 29 nokuthenga 32 hryvnia. Kukho baxakwa ukuba bathi kungekudala le khosi iya kufikelela ixabiso 70-80 hryvnia dollar ngalinye. A impendulo ecacileyo lo mbuzo, kwenzeka ntoni dollar, akukho namnye unako, enyanisweni, njengoko ukunika yangaphambili lokuya kwaso. Ngoxa ungalinda kuphela kwaye bona okwenzekayo.

Ngubani ogqiba kule khosi?

Ukufunda umbuzo kwenzeka ntoni ukuba dollar uba imali eninzi kakhulu, kubalulekile besithi meko ayikho negative ngokupheleleyo. Kukho udidi lwabantu abafumana ingeniso evela ukukhula currency elibukhali. Oku kunganxulunyaniswa abarhwebi nabathengisi. Ukuxhaphaza amazinga exchange kule didi bantu baziva abalungileyo kakhulu. Ukufunda Dynamics into eyenzekayo kunye dollar, iingcali zemali musa kuphela zingenangxaki ngokwemigaqo eziphathekayo, njengoko inxalenye enkulu yabemi. Bona zisuswe imeko yenzuzo, nto leyo evumela ukuba enze imali ube nempumelelo. On izenzakalo koqoqosho lwehlabathi anomalous nga uyatyetyiswa kakhulu ngempumelelo.