Abatyali Asisakholwa kwi dollar

Kwimarike forex i ngoku kwasekwa Umkhuba elitsha noko, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba intsalela kwamandla iyatshintsha kwelinye icala.

Esithetha ngayo kwi indlela kwimarike iindaba ngokuphathelele umyinge wenzala kwi-US Federal Reserve mali. Makhe ujonga iingxelo yakutshanje ngamagosa Fed, owathetha malunga uphuculo athile kwimalike yabasebenzi, ukwenyuka kwamaxabiso ndivuka kunye nokukhula oluzinzileyo koqoqosho.

Ngokomzekelo, kutshanje ummeli Rosengren i-Fed wathi ukuba uqoqosho lwelizwe akwazi ukufikelela ingqesho epheleleyo kunyaka olandelayo, ngokunxulumene apho kukho isizathu nganye bendyebo ngcembe yerhafu. Fed Governor Tarullo wathi akukho naziphi na lokukhulisa kwenzala kulo nyaka. UMongameli we-Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Dennis Lockhart wathi iingqikelelo kwamaxabiso abazinzileyo, kunye nemalike zabasebenzi kuyeza ingqesho epheleleyo.

amagosa amaninzi Fed ayavuma imfuneko yokwandisa kwenzala, ibangela nomtsalane US dollar kulindeleke ukuba lukhule, kodwa into ngokwenene ntoni? Kwaye kukho eyahlukileyo kakhulu umfanekiso. Kule ngxelo, idola yaseMerika uqalisa ukwehla ngokuthe ithelekiswa neemali zamanye amazwe, ingakumbi ngokuchasene asethi zomngcipheko ezifana euro, Australia nase-New Zealand dollar.

Ngomhla umbuzo wokuba kutheni oku kuyenzeka, kuza impendulo enye kuphela; mhlawumbi, abadlali ezinkulu kunye nabatyali zithetha iingxelo ezinjalo ngenye indlela, kwaye ngexesha kugqajukelwa hexa kunye nokukhula kunokuzuza indawo oku asethi yingozi njengoko dollar US kakhulu overbought, kunye nokulindeleka ukukhula ayifuni kunye nezicwangciso ukuvelisa iinkampani zemali kunye nemali uthango enkulu idibana.

Enye indlela yenkqubo enomdla ye yeemalike amakamva izivumelwano kwimilinganiselo yenzala. Kutsha nje, utshintsho kwicala negative yakhokelela Imfuneko US dollar. Amathuba i-Fed kwenzala ukukhulisa ngoSeptemba 15% xa kuthelekiswa no-30% ekuqaleni kwale nyanga. Ngelo xesha linye-57% abathathi-nxaxheba kwimarike bakholelwa ukuba izinga iya kwandiswa ngoDisemba.

Kungenzeka ngokomeleza ye US dollar ayikho kwisiqalo lweentengo ezinkulu ngu abatyali-mali bamaziko, kodwa ukuba ufake abarhwebi kwerandi bedidekile aqokelele odolo ezininzi stop, enkosi apho kunokwenzeka khona kwixesha elizayo ukwakha static amanqanaba inkxaso enkulu.

Enye into ebalulekileyo kukuba izenzo ECB kaThixo. Kwintlanganiso yalo yakutshanje, ECB uMongameli Mario Draghi wenza akukho lutshintsho ngokwemiqathango yenkqubo ubuninzi Inzala yemali, nto leyo bengalindelwanga abarhwebi. Makungabikho namnye kwixa elizayo, kodwa isilawuli noko ukwenza izicwangciso lokunqanda le nkqubo, kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo ezingqongqo lawulo wemali. Kwaye xa oko kusenzeka, imfuno asethi zomngcipheko kuya kukhula ngakumbi.

Ngenxa yoko, izinga lonaniselwano yangoku ezimali kunye liqikelele amathuba US intshukumo dollar kuya kuxhomekeka ngqo kungekhona izenzo Fed, yaye isikhundla kunye nesimo sengqondo-zimali ezinkulu bekulindelekile kwi inxalenye ECB. Makhe ngalo mzuzu idola yaseMerika usenalo amandla ethile, kwaye ukukhula kancinci ithelekiswa neemali zamanye amazwe, kodwa sele ukubona indlela imakethi ngokuthe iyatshintsha malunga asethi yingozi, nangona nje ngokukhawuleza abaninzi fisa.