I dollar bawe? i wezulu dollar

Xa usenza udliwano ndlebe iingcali ezizimeleyo kwakucaca kakhulu ukuba uninzi lwabantu baxhalabile malunga mbuzo ukuba ingaba dollar ziya kuwa. ERashiya abahlali umdla kwindawo yokuqala ngenxa yokuba ukuba izinga dollar kutshintshiselwano US imisela iindleko sokungena, ngenxa yoko, ixabiso uninzi iimveliso. Kukho ubundlelwane ilula kakhulu. Ixabiso eliphezulu zegolide abamnyama inika ekungeneni zeedola inxaxheba kurhwebo lwasemakhaya, le engange ebexakekile wazomeleza, yaye abemi belo lizwe unako ukuthenga impahla ngexabiso elifanelekileyo. Ukuba ixabiso le-oyile iwela, umfanekiso uba malunga ngokupheleleyo, kwaye umgangatho wokuphila leyo kakhulu lifinyele.

Ukungangqinelani mali ngo-2015

Buyela ngoNovemba 2014, kwaye kwacaca kakhulu ukuba amalungiselelo ohlahlo lwabiwo-mali 2015 kwaye ngokusondeleyo ayihambisani yokwenene. Inkcitho ecwangcisiweyo ngenxa yesibakala sokuba kukho Umphanda yegolide abamnyama singaxabisa kubuthuba bama kwimarike hlabathi ngaphantsi kwe-96 eerandi. Ngokusekelwe kule index, i-dollar kwimigangatho ngo-2015 mayingabi ngaphezu 37 engange. Bamangaliswa Upheliso sele luye lwaqhutywa ngoNovemba 2014. Ngexesha i US izinga lotshintshiselwano dollar obabulingana engange-48. Ngeminyaka yoo-kuDisemba waloo nyaka, oko waphakama waya engange-60. Kwincopho lifikelelwe kulo mzobo phantse 68 engange. Ngexesha lobunzima uNyaka oMtsha, iingcali ngamazwe yaye akazange abe nobuganga ukuthetha malunga ukuwa kwekhosi. Iingqikelelo ziye lwalugxile ukukhula ngakumbi emali. Ezinye iingcali bathi ngokufikelela uphawu engange 100 dollar ngalinye. Hayi kuphela ukwehla yeoli, kodwa eminye imiba esisiseko baye ezifuneka phambili ukuze emibi.

Yintoni imeko intsilelo mali?

Iingcali, kuthathelwa ingqalelo eshotayo yohlahlo lwabiwo ngenxa kuncitshiswa ekungeneni yamazwe angaphandle ngenxa ukuwa kwamaxabiso e-oyile, intetho a kunokwenzeka, nangona bachache ngokupheleleyo. Kukho zombini ezifuneka kubalulekile ukuba bawe, kunye nokukhula lwemali. Yonke into iza kuxhomekeka kwindlela le meko iya kuqhubeka kurhwebo oyile zehlabathi. Nangona sinokuthi kwixa elizayo dollar uya kuwa kancinane eRashiya, nto leyo enxulumene ngqo nokuvuselelwa iindleko ngegolide emnyama. Ngelixa enkulu oli-abahola lizwe ukubuyisela koovimba zayo zemali emva kokuba kwamanzi ngomlinganiselo omkhulu, i-dollar lingaya lisehla ngokwehla. Ukuba izinga langoku ingqamana engange 54,5 dollar nganye, ungalindela ukuba angehla 46-48 engange. Ngokubanik imeko kwexabiso le oli, nto leyo ngoku ukurhweba kwi iidola 66.6 umphanda kwi-uptrend enamandla, sinako sele bathi dollar ziya kuwa emarikeni. Ngelo xesha ngoJuni, kubanjwe intlanganiso ebalulekileyo yeLungu States of OPEC apho kuya kwenziwa izigqibo, anendima ebalulekileyo intengiso orhwebo lwe-oyile kunye, ngoko ke, kuchaphazela dollar eRashiya.

simo edidayo yezopolitiko

Inkcazelo iye ngokuphindaphindiweyo bahlabe kwi amajelo endaba ezizwe ngezizwe ukuba emva kokuba nokudliwa eCrimea kunye ungquzulwano ukufana empuma Ukraine nxamnye neRashiya zaye enemvume. Bona kakhulu hit amacandelo ezininzi zoqoqosho zaza zanyanzelisa nefuthe elibi kwi imeko zemali kweli lizwe. Kakhulu lugwayimbo kwimveliso ye-oyile kunye noshishino emkhosini, inkqubo eyenza le isixa-mali karhulumente kunye eyayiyixhasa dollar eRashiya kwinqanaba elilelona. Eyona ngxaki inkulu kukungabikho amathuba ukuboleka kumaziko emali amazwe. Intlawulo Intlawulo ye-mboleko ezikhutshwe ngaphambili ukunyanzela urhulumente ukuba kuthenga ngenkuthalo zeedollar, nto leyo ekhokelela ngokuzenzekelayo amaxabiso aphezulu.

Ziziphi uqikelelo zingenziwa ngokuhlalutya-nkqubo ka-Russia?

Ukuze uphendule umbuzo wokuba ingaba dollar ziya kuwa, ngokusekelwe kwi imeko yezopolitiko kweli lizwe, kuyingxaki kakhulu. Ukwayo oluchasene iRussia nje amazwe Western musa ukusirhoxisa, kodwa kwezinye iindawo liqiniswe. Ukungabi nako ukuthatha cheap mboleko lwemali amazwe zincediswa le mfuduko zabatyali-mali bangaphandle elizweni, nto leyo lalikhatshwa nencindi imali yelinye ilizwe. Urhwaphilizo kunye noxinzelelo eliqele phambi kwabasemagunyeni ishishini ukuba ukudluliselwa yoshishino lwasekhaya kwi offshore. Zonke ezi zibakala zibonisa ukuba dollar kwiibhanki kwixesha elifutshane akayi kutshintsha kakhulu. Ku vuriwa yini loko buyisela emva kwisiqalo yokuba ukunyuka okungephi kwamaxabiso e-oyile, kodwa utshintsho olukhulu, abahlalutyi musa singacebisi ukulinda de kube nokudinwa kwembambano njengoko Ukraine kunye amazwe aseYurophu ne eMelika.

Liqikelele ngokusekelwe iziganeko zoluntu zasekhaya

Ukongeza ukuba iimeko zangaphandle, ntlekele Unyaka Omtsha kunyaka ophelileyo lwaqaliswa kunye neengxaki isimo sangaphakathi. Kule minyaka ili-15 idlulileyo eli lizwe wakwazi ukutshintsha imodeli ekrwada kwezoqoqosho kule mihla. Ishishini oyile phantse Badla zonke izibonelelo ezikhoyo, kunye nokwabiwa kwemali phakathi ziqwempu yezoqoqosho uhulumeni kolwabelo olungalinganiyo. Uphuhliso ngokugqithisileyo ushishino oyile kuye kwakhokelela ekuncipheni kwe kwezinye iindawo kwezoqoqosho. Ngenxa yoko, sabona idola eliphezulu kakhulu. Sase- uxabiso ukuqhutywa kwe-US lwemali kunokwenziwa, ukuqala yokuba ngalo mzuzu njengenguqu noshowo ngelixa akukho mntu ubamba. Ngaphandle ngokutsha ebalulekileyo yoqoqosho ayiyi kuzohlwaya, yaye ngenxa yoko izinga lotshintshiselwano iya kuhlala ibingenamongo ngokwaneleyo.

Yintoni Kunzima ukuqikelela?

izimvo nengcali umbuzo wokuba kuya kubakho lwedola ukuwa kakhulu diverge kakhulu. Akukho mntu unika self uqinisekisa iintshukumo imali ixesha elide. Ukuba ekupheleni kuka-2014, iingcali ezininzi ngokuzithemba ngelithi imali engange ngeenyawo ukuya kwinqanaba kweeyunithi ikhulu 1 dollar, ngoku ngokoluvo itshintshile. Abahlaziyi uthambekele ukukholelwa ukuba dollar owayo iyaqiniseka lo mkhuba. Le ubunzima yokuqikelela unobangela imisebenzi amaninzi kwerandi kunye lwemali American, nto leyo ngokwemiqathango kusilela yayo kweli lizwe na ukuba imzisele okunzulu ezibukhali. Le Dynamics idola kuxhomekeke intlawulo yetyala kwiinkampani ezinkulu Russian. Ngokomzekelo, ngoDisemba kunyaka ophelileyo kwaye ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka, yaba Limi malunga 32-33 ezigidi zeerandi amatyala. Ukuthengwa amazwe kwi kwimarike ozalwa i kukhokelela Jump kwizicatshulwa kwaye ezichulumancisa ngayo labemi engekho imbuyekezo yi-Central Bank.

Umgaqo-Central Bank uyakwazi ukubona dollar

Ukuze kakhulu echaphazela isigqibo Central Bank ukumnika kwi kwimarike yamazwe ngamazwe. Ngaphandle kwento yokuba urhulumente waseRashiya ukuvumela lwemali abhabhe ngokukhululekileyo, oko igcinelwe ilungelo ukunyenyisa ixabiso engange kwiimeko kakhulu. Njengoko ukuba eRashiya ezinkulu zolondolozo negolide kweli hlabathi, singakwazi ukuthetha ubuchule ilizwe ukuba awuthintele imali yesizwe kangangoko kuyimfuneko. Nangaliphi na ixesha, i-Central Bank ukunyenyisa dollar. Ukuba sikhokelo yomgaqo-lawulo wemali baya ndibaleka umatshini wokushicilela yaye kuya kukhulula imali ngqiqweni, imali US kabukhali ukubhabha phezulu, ukusongela ukwehla kule engange. Ukuba esihlambo imali ngqiqweni ziya kube phantsi kolawulo olungqongqo ngurhulumente, kungathathwa ithemba zokuqinisa engange kunye nokwehla idola ngayo.

uqikelelo ngokulinganisela nethemba

Kukho ezintathu kuphela iintlobo kuqikelelo. It sinokuhlasela nethemba, nethemba kunye angabathembi. Ukuqwalasela ngalinye iziganeko leenketho, singakwazi ncokola malunga nokuba ingaba esi dollar uyawa. lokuhle Moderate ithemba iRashiya kunye eYurophu ukusilela ukuphuhlisa kuqoqosho olomeleleyo ngaphandle amandla zasekhaya. Abahlaziyi zisebenza ukuba amaxabiso oyile ephantsi lutho kulo lonke ihlabathi, yaye kungekudala le meko sizinze kwimarike neoli lwehlabathi, kwaye kuqoqosho Russian. Ukuba uhlolisise dollar. Kuqikelelo lwemozulu yokuma kwabo kwi ikhosi engange 38-42 ekupheleni kuka-2015.

nethemba le meko kunye dollar

Isibakala sokuba dollar uyawa, bathi, bafe-hard lokuhle. Oku ikakhulu abameli izixhobo karhulumente kunye nabantu abasondeleyo kubo. Abatsho imeko yenziweyo, nezepolitiki. uluvo lwabo wayeka kwinto yokuba ukuwa oyile - kwimeko urhulumente US kunye nezandla zamaqabane zabo. Injongo welinye iqela - a minyinyiva zomkhosi nezopolitiko Russia. Nangqondo ezenzekayo olunjalo kwixesha elizayo kufuneka licaca ekupheleni ihlobo 2015. Ngokutsho uqikelelo, ngo-2016 kwilizwe elitsha iya kuhlangana neendwendwe pre-crisis karhulumente. Akhawunti asithatyathwa kuphela kukuba ngenxa kuwa kwixabiso zegolide amnyama kwimarike yehlabathi le nto ukubandezeleka, yaye Melika ngokwaso, njengoko ioli shale eqolo ukuphuhlisa.

Pessimists - ezininzi abahlalutyi kunye neengcali

Iqela elikhulu ziingcali ukholelwa ukuba dollar, i-Central Bank wanikela namhlanje ngomlinganiselo 54,5, akasayi kubuyela pre-crisis endleleni. imbono yokuziphatha-nye alatha ekukhuleni lwemali ukuya uphawu engange-100. Izizathu zoku bebona iintlawulo lobunzima, umbhodamo lwamatyala kunye imilinganiselo yenani emininzi beebhanki kunye nosomashishini. Kubekho iintetho ukuba iRussia akwazi kwicala loqoqosho umyalelo yaye ukujikelezisa ifomati ehlaziyiweyo ye-USSR. Imele ukuba umba ophambili yingxaki kakhulu enzulu kwenza balumkeleni ubundlobongela kunye kuluhlu sovereignties.

Apha kuyimfuneko ukuba bokubeka ngokuhambelana kwaye bangqine into yokuba akukho namnye kuqikellelo ezinkulu ezenziwe kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezidlulileyo, akukhange kube kwenzekile kwaye enesiqingatha. Oku kunika isizathu esifanelekileyo sokukholelwa ukuba abathile, okanye kusenokwenzeka ngakumbi, ukuqikelela ulwalathiso dollar akwenzi ngqiqo, ekubeni lonaniselwano ikhonkco ngqo kunye nokusebenza kwezoqoqosho kudala yaphukile.